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An expert explains how the conventional wisdom about decision making can get us into trouble--and why experience can't be replaced by rules, procedures, or analytical methods.
In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our intuition and when should we rely on logic and statistics? Most of us would probably agree that for important decisions, we should follow certain guidelines--gather as much information as possible, compare the options, pin down the goals before getting started. But in practice we make some of our best decisions by adapting to circumstances rather than blindly following procedures. In Streetlights and Shadows, Gary Klein debunks the conventional wisdom about how to make decisions. He takes ten commonly accepted claims about decision making and shows that they are better
An expert explains how the conventional wisdom about decision making can get us into trouble--and why experience can't be replaced by rules, procedures, or analytical methods.In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our
As seen in Malcolm Gladwell's Blink--the modern, groundbreaking classic on effective decision making. How people really make decisions: drawing on prior experience and using a combination of intuition and analysis. We have all seen images of firefighters rescuing people from burning buildings
Judgment and Decision Making is a refreshingly accessible text that explores the wide variety of ways people make judgments. It examines assessments of probability, frequency, and causation; as well as how decisions are rendered under conditions of risk and uncertainty. Topics covered include
This ambitious and thought-provoking new work offers an overarching analysis of decision-making in all walks of
This textbook is the ideal guide for business and management students who need to understand accounting and finance information and develop analytical skills in order to make better-informed decisions. Accounting and Finance for Managers rebukes the myth that in order to excel in accounting and
Policy making is a political struggle over values and ideas. By exposing the paradoxes that underlie even seemingly straightforward policy decisions, Policy Paradox shows students that politics cannot be cleansed from the process in favor of 'rationality.' Author Deborah Stone has fully revised and
Explains and illustrates fact-gathering and decision-making strategies for civil litigators, criminal defense lawyers and transactional lawyers in the contexts of individual clients, first time and repeat ''players'', joint clients, organisational clients, and clients whose cultural backgrounds
The most important decisions for any business - developing and implementing strategy - explained by executive coach and business author Jeremy
Design, DIY, and computer-controlled fabrication are a powerful combination for making high-quality customized things. Written by the founders of the architecture, design, and research firm Filson and Rohrbacher, this book takes you through the basics of CNC fabrication, the design process,
This elegant book is a guide for any public, private, government or non-profit organization that needs to make better decisions. It sets out a simple approach (the Decision Loom), based on Systems and Design Thinking and Complexity Theory. It also describes the 4 core capabilities any organization
The ability to anticipate and make accurate decisions in a timely manner is fundamental to high-level performance in sport. This is the first book to identify the underlying science behind anticipation and decision making in sport, enhancing our scientific understanding of these phenomena and
The Ultimate Anti-Hero Meets His Match... Connor Dunkle knows what he wants in a woman, and it's the three B's. Beauty. Body. Boobs. Other women need not apply. With his good looks and easygoing charm, he's used to getting what he wants-and who. Until he comes face to face with the one woman who's
The story picks up with Janie Arnold making a life changing decision to help her cousin Megan and hopefully to leave Janie free to start her own life. Whilst on holiday in Lanzarote she meets Adam, a boat builder from back home in Wales and Alison another holiday maker from Derbyshire. Life is
Explores the interplay between financial markets and macroeconomic outcomes with a conceptual framework Emphasizes the interrelationships between four markets: goods, credit (both bank and bond market channels), equity capital, and foreign exchange Provides insight on how to anticipate market
A revolutionary approach to male sexuality offers the keys to achieving sexual fulfillment - Teaches how to retain semen for increased vitality and longer lovemaking - Explains the relationship-strengthening benefits of deep, sustained penetration - Includes foreplay approaches and position
After leaving the Society and desperately searching for each other - and the Rising - Cassia and Ky have found what they were looking for, but at the cost of losing each other yet again. But nothing is as predicted, and all too soon the veil lifts and things shift once
The Psychology of Thinking is an engaging, interesting and easy-to-follow guide into the essential concepts behind our reasoning, decision-making and problem-solving. Clearly structured into 3 sections, this book will; Introduce your students to organisation of thought including memory, language
You're in love, and it's the real thing. You have made a joyous decision together--a decision destined to change your lives forever: You're getting married Now, as you plan your wedding celebration, it is time to lay the foundation for a lifetime of love and romance. Today you can begin the
This ground-breaking book from award-winning author Matt Watkinson reveals the fundamental, inseparable elements behind the success of every business. The Grid provides the mental scaffolding to help you:* Evaluate and refine product and service ideas* Reduce risk by considering the broader impact
Today, interpreting data is a critical decision-making factor for businesses and organizations. If your job requires you to manage and analyze all kinds of data, turn to Head First Data Analysis, where you'll quickly learn how to collect and organize data, sort the distractions from the truth, find
This book argues that religion can and must be reconciled with science. Combining adaptive and cognitive approaches, it is a comprehensive analysis of religion's evolutionary significance, and its inextricable interdependence with language. It is also a detailed study of religion's main component,
'The perfect book right now for young readers searching for hope, strength, inspiration -- and just a little horticultural havoc.'--New York Times The first book in a can't-put-it-down, can't-read-it-fast-enough action-thriller trilogy that's part Hatchet, part Alien!The invasion begins--but not