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Reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, the author takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make predictions in our
Reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, the author takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a
UPDATED FOR 2020 WITH A NEW PREFACE BY NATE SILVER 'One of the more momentous books of the decade.' --The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER - NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST 'The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.'--Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying
Unlock your mind. From the bestselling authors of Thinking, Fast and Slow; The Black Swan; and Stumbling on Happiness comes a cutting-edge exploration of the mysteries of rational thought, decision-making, intuition, morality, willpower, problem-solving, prediction, forecasting, unconscious
More than a cookbook, Preservation: The Art and Science of Canning, Fermentation and Dehydration demystifies the scientific concepts that inform the methods of food preservation in an easy to understand way. Taking Julia Child as her inspiration, certified Master Food Preserver Christina Ward has
Listening to Noise and Silence engages with the emerging practice of sound art and the concurrent development of a discourse and theory of sound. In this original and challenging work, Salom Voegelin immerses the reader in concepts of listening to sound artwork and the everyday acoustic
Animal Training 101 offers a marriage of the science of animal behavior and the art of animal training. This approach is presented in a simple, practical way for both the professional and the beginning enthusiast working with any species. Animal Training 101 thoroughly explains the entire spectrum
Immersive Sound: The Art and Science of Binaural and Multi-Channel Audio provides a comprehensive guide to multi-channel sound. With contributions from leading recording engineers, researchers, and industry experts, Immersive Sound includes an in-depth description of the physics and psychoacoustics
Live pain free and maximize your training potential The Modern Art and Science of Mobility is a striking visual guide to releasing muscle tension and activating muscles for functional motion. It goes beyond traditional training methods that focus on performance and aesthetics and asks these simple
The Art and Science of Making Up Your Mind presents basic decision-making principles and tools to help the reader respond efficiently and wisely to everyday dilemmas. Although most decisions are made informally (whether intuitively without deliberate thought, or based on careful reflection), over
The Art, Science, and Craft of Great Landscape Photography, 2nd Edition teaches photographers how to convert their visual peak experiences--moments of extraordinary natural beauty that evoke a sense of wonder and awe--into stunning images that elicit the same awestruck emotion in their viewers
This second edition of The Art and Science of Dance/Movement Therapy offers a broad understanding of dance/movement therapy as well as an in-depth exploration of how and where it can be used to produce change. The chapters that make up this innovative volume go beyond the basics to offer a unique
Science and art are increasingly interconnected in the activities of the study and conservation of works of art. Science plays a key role in cultural heritage, from developing new analytical techniques for studying the art, to investigating new ways of preserving the materials for the future. For
In the illuminating and entertaining One Kiss or Two? Andy Scott goes down the rabbit hole to take a closer look at what greetings are all about. Through in-depth research and his personal experiences, and with the help of experts, Scott takes us on a captivating journey through a subject far
The international bestselling insider's account of football's incredible data
Boyhood is the second novel in Leo Tolstoy's autobiographical trilogy, following Childhood and followed by Youth. The novel was first published in the Russian literary journal Sovremennik in 1854.Youth is the third novel in Leo Tolstoy's autobiographical trilogy, following Childhood and Boyhood. It
The Art & Science of Beauty Therapy is an indispensable reference for beauty therapists, providing up to the minute guidance for student Estheticians. Each treatment is explained using insights and practical advice from a team of industry experts, and the book clearly illustrates the personal
A Kitchen Confidential for the wine industry, this is a sharp and entertaining look inside the secret world of
In his 1934 book, The Science and Fine Art of Fasting, Herbert M. Shelton outlined his theory that fasting is a key component in promoting healing. The book's ideas run counter to the well-known conventional wisdom that those who are sick must eat to 'keep up their strength' and posits that fasting
Modernist Bread: The Art and Science is a revolutionary new understanding of one of the most important staples of the human diet. Created by the team that published the award-winning Modernist Cuisine: The Art and Science of Cooking, this massive treasury of practical knowledge and groundbreaking
We get feedback every day of our lives, from friends and family, colleagues, customers, and bosses, teachers, doctors, and strangers. We know that feedback is essential for professional development and healthy relationships - but we dread it and even dismiss it. This book teaches you how to take